Join the btrbet community and get access to our professional tools!

Get started today

199 days ago

Clippers @ Pistons: The One Where the Trend Is the Tell

Point Spread

The Clippers have a pretty consistent average points-per-game no matter how far back you look. They're averaging 112.5 points over their last 24 games, 116.10 over their last 10 games, 113.60 over their last 5 games, and 111.67 over their last three games.

Back on December 28th, the Pistons put up only 99 points to the Clipper's 112. Even with that in mind, the Pistons' averages tell a slightly different story. They're averaging 118.75 points-per-game over their last 24, but only 114.33 over their last three. As you make that lookback window smaller, the Pistons' average points-per-game just keeps getting smaller. This makes sense when you remember that the Pistons lost Tobias Harris to a hip injury during the game against the Lakers on December 30th, and that Jalen Duren has been out with an ankle injury since rolling it against the Heat on January 1st.

Despite those injuries to some big-time components of their team, the Pistons continue to play really good ball. At -101, taking the Pistons -4 seems like the right bet.

Player Props

Paul Reed has only had four games this season where he's scored more than 10.5 points. His average points-per-game for the season is 5.94, while his average for the last five and last three games is 7.40. That increased average points-per-game gets even bigger if you look at his average over the last three games of 8.33 points, despite playing no less than 26 minutes in each of those games.

Ausar Thompson had 6 points in 24 minutes the last time the Clippers and Pistons played each other (back on December 28th). He's averaging 11.05 points-per-game for the season and 9.6 over the last five and last three games. Betting u12.5 for him has a really strong likelihood of being a winning bet.

Post image 1
Post image 2
Post image 3
Post image 4
0 reactions