Pistons @ Hornets: Follow the Points

Rolling with team totals tonight and keeping it simple: follow the points.

Pistons TT o112.5 Detroit has quietly been playing at a much faster, higher-scoring pace. They’ve averaged 119.7 PPG over the last 3, 124 over the last 5, and are still clearing 118+ over the last 10. Even zooming out to the last 24 games, they’re putting up 115.6 PPG, which gives us a little cushion above this number. As long as they’re getting decent shooting nights, this line feels a step behind recent form.

Hornets TT o110.5 Charlotte’s offense has been trending the right way too. They’re at 114+ PPG over the last 5 and 10 games, and a strong 117.2 PPG over the last 24. This total is basically asking them to play to their recent averages, not exceed them by much. With the price near even money, I’m happy to let the long-term scoring trend do the work.