Diff of Day for May 23

Diff of the Day

Grant Holmes under 4.5 strikeouts is currently: -108 at Prophet X -115 at FanDuel -125 at Hard Rock and Caesars -130 at theScore -131 at DraftKings

At -108, my $10 bet returns $9.26 profit. At -131, that same $10 bet returns just $7.63 profit.

That’s a 21.4% increase in profit for the exact same outcome simply from getting the best available line.

The BtrBet model currently prices Holmes under 4.5 Ks around -137 fair, so getting -108 at Prophet X is not just the best line on the board — it’s also materially ahead of the model’s estimated fair value.